现货ETF有望获批,比特币进一步上涨

在彭博社认为比特币有90%的可能性将很快批准现货交易所交易基金(ETF)之后,比特币进一步上涨。

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BTCUSD -日线图

ETF获批的消息传出后,比特币一度上涨至37000美元,价格从9月份接近25000美元的水平大幅飙升。

自2022年5月5日以来,加密货币一直处于最高水平,就在TerraUSD稳定币崩溃之前,并开始了一系列损害分散化金融业的失败。其中最引人注目的是加密货币交易所FTX的失败,该交易所上周接受审判,导致其创始人因洗钱和滥用客户资金等多项罪名面临长期监禁。

Matrixport研究公司的Markus Thielen表示:“随着比特币交易回到Terra稳定币崩溃时的水平之上,加密货币交易员已经正式走出了那些心理创伤。”

美国证券交易委员会将很快就ETF的批准进行投票,其中包括来自资产管理巨头贝莱德的ETF。彭博情报分析师的一份报告显示,周四,SEC有大约8天的时间“理论上可以发布批准令”。

他们写道:“即使本月没有获得批准,我们仍然认为,到1月10日,批准的可能性仍有90%。”

社会交易公司eToro的市场分析师Josh Gilbert表示,” ETF预期是推动当前涨势的最重要因素,这将进一步推动当前涨势。”除了这只ETF,押注美联储目前不会加息,明年比特币将减半的做法也推动了比特币的上涨。

然而,摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou表示,加密货币的反弹“看起来有些过头了”。他认为,即使etf获得批准,可能出现的情况是,现有资本将从现有产品(如Grayscale信托和比特币期货ETF)转移。

有传言称贝莱德正计划为第二大加密货币以太坊推出ETF,此后以太币的价格也飙升。这位华尔街巨头在特拉华州注册了iShares以太坊信托基金的文件。

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