更多美联储官员释放鹰派信号，无阻纳指创新高但金价掉头 | ATFX

要点

昨日美股市场随着美债收益率下跌和油价回落而反弹，纳斯达克指数创下收盘纪录新高，市场在中美元首会晤前的积极氛围带动下整体走强。
黄金则因美元反弹而回落，因为美联储更多官员释放出支持进一步加息的信号。

今日关注：欧元区9月消费者信心指数：最新数据预计维持负增长，因消费者对能源价格和就业前景的评估仍偏谨慎。美国9月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数预计为4（前值：5）：作为区域性制造业主导指标，若该数据延续疲态，将进一步佐证美国制造业在相对高利率环境下的放缓压力。

全球市场回顾

昨日道指收涨0.71%，标普500指数涨1.49%，纳指涨2.26%。
美国指标10年期公债收益率回落，美元指数上涨0.13%。
现货金下跌0.8%，因美联储今年进一步收紧货币政策的预期及其他主要央行释放的鹰派信号推动美元走强。
WTI原油跌逾3%至近两周低位，因投资者寄望本周举行的联合国大会能推动伊朗战争取得外交进展。

重要财经日历

日本假期

时间 (GMT+8)	事件	重要性
11:10	澳洲联储主席布洛克发表讲话	***
22:00	欧元区9月消费者信心指数初值	**
22:00	美国9月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数	**

9月23日

日本假期

NYMEX 10月原油期货合约到期

时间 (GMT+8)	事件	重要性
04:30	API原油库存变动	***
07:00	澳大利亚9月制造业、服务业及综合PMI初值	**
15:30	德国9月制造业、服务业及综合PMI初值	**
16:00	欧元区9月制造业、服务业及综合PMI初值	**
16:30	英国9月制造业、服务业及综合PMI初值	**
21:45	美国9月制造业、服务业及综合PMI初值	***
22:30	EIA原油库存变动	**

【20260922 行情分析】

欧元兑美元

1.1488/1.1512阻力
1.1434/1.1411支持

周一欧元下跌，因美元在更多美联储官员鹰派表态下回升，且德国总理默茨领导的保守党遭遇战后最惨重的地区选举败绩，部分拖累欧元。

分析师观点：汇价继续维持在低位区间，形成窄幅区间盘整；只要继续维持在1.1500下方，就偏向承压。

方向：区间模式

英镑兑美元

1.3407/1.3435阻力
1.3342/1.3314支持

昨日英镑兑美元整体处于窄幅波动，盘中先涨后回吐，最高触及1.3400关口，但未能突破，部分受制于美元的上涨。

分析师观点：汇价继续维持在低位区间内，英国方面的消息面指引有限，汇价预计暂时维持低位区间的整理。

方向：区间模式

美元兑日元

158.26/158.70阻力
156.76/156.19支持

美元兑日元在过去六个交易日中第五次走高，昨日收盘创9月3日以来高位，市场再次关注日本当局是否会有干预的倾向。

分析师观点：汇价上行通道继续扩张，昨日进一步突破20日均线后，多头动能增强，有望继续挑战158关口上方。

方向：短线偏多

美国原油期货（10月）

95.61/97.74阻力
88.71/86.61支持

隔夜原油价格延续下跌，创下9月8日以来最低位，因为投资者寄望本周举行的联合国大会能推动中东局势的缓和。

分析师观点：中东地区展开外交斡旋的消息将继续利空油价。技术上，价格跌破关键均线支撑，因此留意是否会下探90美元关口。

方向：承压

现货黄金

4405/4438阻力
4300/4267支持

现货白银

67.43/68.32阻力
65.31/64.60支持

美联储更多官员表态倾向加息，受市场对美联储可能进一步收紧货币政策的预期影响，昨日金价走低，盘中一度下挫超1%。

分析师观点：黄金昨日回吐前一日涨幅，但尾盘守住了10日均线，上方20日均线继续在4390美元附近构成阻力，因此日内金价可能暂时维持在上述均线范围内整理。

方向：区间模式

美国道琼斯工业指数期货US30

52397/52776阻力
51551/51179支持

昨日美股高开高走，AI与芯片股领涨，科技股带动市场人气，加上美债收益率及油价回落，道指进一步脱离近期低位。

分析师观点：道指昨日创下逾一周来最大涨幅，目前正在测试10日均线阻力位；若突破，将巩固上涨动能，并进一步看向52400上方阻力。

方向：短线偏多

美国纳斯达克指数NAS100

30826/30996阻力
30248/30026支持

纳斯达克指数周一大涨并创下收盘纪录新高，AMD和其他AI权重股上涨带来提振，费城半导体指数创8月4日以来最佳单日表现。

分析师观点：市场积极展望中美元首会晤可能涉及AI讨论，纳指在创下新高后，预计短线升势有望延续，技术上继续关注30800上方阻力。

方向：短线偏多

香港恒生指数HK50

25400/25572阻力
24878/24663支持

港股昨日收高291点，重回两万五关口后，今早继续高开逾百点，科网股领涨大市。HK50指数昨日录得三日连涨，为近一个月以来首次。

分析师观点：HK50指数在连涨后突破10日均线，动能有所增强，今早继续测试20日均线，因此聚焦能否突破后，进一步指向25400上方阻力。

方向：短线偏多

免责声明：本分析仅供参考，交易愉快！

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